TheDailyGold Premium Update #611

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The 26-page update was published and emailed to subscribers Sunday early AM.

The sector outlook is covered and the update includes a report on a junior company with 10-bagger potential in a bull market and 3-4 bagger potential in a stable Gold price environment.

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Interview: Levels to Watch in Metals & Miners

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Jordan Roy-Byrne, Founder of The Daily Gold shares the levels we should be watching as metals investors if the pullback we have all been waiting for is here. As long as gold and stocks limit the downside the bullish argument remains.

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Ecommerce and digital marketing companies battle for the digital consumer in ‘an Amazon world’

E-commerce M&A value up by $20 billion 2018 vs. 2017Digital marketing M&A total value achieved $11 billion in 2H2018, more than double first half valueLondon, UK – 28 February 2019. The latest E-Commerce and Digital Marketing M&A Market Reports from international technology mergers and acquisitions advisor, Hampleton Partners, reveal that 2018 recorded a $20 billion increase in disclosed e-commerce M&A value compared to 2017, boosted by mega-deals such as Walmart’s ambitious $16 billion purchase of…

Source: RealWire

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Bullish Sentiment Won’t Prevent a Breakout in Gold

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Back in 2013 I recall having a bearish view on the stock market due to extremely bullish sentiment readings. The market completely ignored that, made a major breakout through 13 year resistance and continued running for years.

Lesson learned.

Turning to Gold, we find something similar during major breakouts in 2005, 2007 and 2009. In the chart below we plot Gold along with its net speculative position (as a percentage of open interest) and the widely followed daily sentiment index.

Gold & Gold Sentiment 2002-2011


In August 2005 and the start of 2006, the net speculative position in Gold reached (excluding 2004) what were the highest levels since the start of the data in 1987.

In late 2007, the net speculative position was not at an extreme but the daily sentiment index spent quite a bit of time around 90% bulls immediately prior to Gold breaking out to a new all time high.

Both the net speculative position and daily sentiment index were very elevated in the fall of 2009, immediately prior to Gold breaking out above its 2008 peak. The net speculative position then was at its second highest level since 1987.

As of February 5, when the Gold price closed at $1319/oz, the net speculative position in Gold was 27% of open interest. Gold gained $30/oz since then but that is well below the 55%-60% peak levels seen in 2016, 2012, 2009 and 2004-2006.

While that is encouraging, history shows that if and when Gold breaks its resistance ($1375-$1400/oz) sentiment indicators figure to be close to bullish extremes. When a market is coming out of a bad bear market or on the cusp of a multi-year breakout, bullish sentiment isn’t necessarily bearish.

In fact, a market that cannot register bullish sentiment extremes is one that may not be strong enough to breakout.

Circling back to the present, the one thing that can prevent Gold from breaking out is renewed underperformance against the stock market. In the chart below we plot Gold and GDX against the S&P 500.

Gold & Gold Stocks vs. S&P 500


Precious metals stopped outperforming the stock market in late December and the Gold to S&P 500 ratio appears weak and likely to weaken further.

The S&P 500 recently cleared its moving average resistance and its advance decline line hit a new all time high. These things suggest higher prices in the near future and that, rather than bullish sentiment would provide resistance to Gold over the next few months.

Although Gold will not break resistance in that scenario, we should keep an eye on the gold stocks which have shown improving breadth and relative strength. Plenty of great values remain and there is still plenty of time to position yourself to take advantage. If a huge breakout is coming later in the year then the next few months may be your last chance. To learn what stocks we are buying and have 3x to 5x potential consider learning more about our premium service.


from bryansteven

TheDailyGold Premium Update #610

head to this site for more information on investing in precious metals

The 26-page update, TDG #610 was published and emailed to subscribers by Sunday AM.

In this 26-page update covered the near-term outlook for the sector and what could be in store for the spring.

There is again an ample Q&A section where we comment on a number of companies.

We also want to note that we’ve covered a ground floor opportunity in a silver company.

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Interview: Watch These Things as Gold Tests Resistance

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Jordan Roy-Byrne, Founder of The Daily Gold shares the changes in the charts that are pointing to a much more bullish scenario for the precious metals.

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from bryansteven

Top 10 Trading & Portfolio Management Rules

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In this updated report we provide and comment on 10 rules for trading and managing a junior gold portfolio. Some (but not all) of these rules will apply to all portfolios including those with only a handful of positions. However, for the most part these rules are for a broad portfolio. 

If I could narrow it down to only three it would be….

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A first: Leadmark AI Platform provides precise response forecast for ad campaigns

Machine learning technology predicts results for brands in real time A new artificial intelligence platform offers a solution to the perennial problem of flawed calculation of campaign effectiveness, effectively eliminating the chronic conundrum of budget wastage. Leadmark, an AI marketing platform, provides internationally an effective solution that steers ad spend to the optimum promotion channels, while simultaneously measuring ROI to be attributed to sales or other response KPIs. The results provided have an accuracy rate…

Source: RealWire

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CleverTouch Marketing Listed in the Sunday Times Top 100 Best Companies to Work For 2019

Hampshire-based Marketing Technology consultancy recognised as an employer with an ‘outstanding’ commitment to workplace engagementAlresford, UK, February 21st, 2019 – CleverTouch Marketing, Europe’s most respected Marketing Technology consulting and service provider, has been featured in the Sunday Times Best Companies to Work For 2019, scoring 733.5 on the Best Companies Index, it was announced today. CleverTouch Marketing launched its campaign to become a Sunday Times 100 Best Company back in June, with aspirations of making…

Source: RealWire

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